This weekend, we have a 12-fight card in Minnesota. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to acquire a lot of money from this week. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $25k belongs to 1st place with a total of $130k being paid out. They also have a Qualifier only contest for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they will compete for a $50k first place cost and that $175k will be distributed between all 100 entries that qualify. There are only 14 more chairs remaining so there won’t be much more time to qualify if you are attempting to. I will try to receive my 3rd chair this week to max it if I could. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers, so be cautious chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw a small number of entries at the $25k decoration, then I will probably take a few shots in the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a good amount of drama into cash games.
With that said, let’s get into a few plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Jared Gordon — $9,200
I enjoy Gordon to get the win this weekend and he will be a money match play of mine . There are better fights to target when we’re looking for 1st round knockouts however I’ll be focusing more on people in GPPs. I like the ground and the ceiling of Gordon here and that is why he’s the money play of the week. I really don’t think Moret has got the ability to really examine the chin of Gordon’s which has appeared to be his biggest weakness recently. With the pace Gordon sets I think he’s 100+ upside into a choice win and I don’t see him becoming completed here so he ought to have a solid floor. I think his flooring in a win is probably 80+ also that is completely fine for cash games. This is a catchy weak, but this is my personal favorite money game place of this week.
GPP drama of this week — Francis Ngannou — $8,800
I had to proceed with Ngannou here. When he wins it is most likely a 1st round knockout. Which is +100 about the betting line. If he receives that 1st round KO, he then scores over 100 DK points and in his $8.8k salary that will place him on the $25k lineup. He’ll be very chalky this week though so be sure to load him up if you are multi-entering if you want to get leverage within the field. I do think JDS is a live underdog here too, so I’ll be targeting both sides of the struggle, but I do observe 100-105 DK points coming from Ngannou here and that could beat a good deal of the fighters priced over him.
Underdog drama of this week — Junior Albini — $8,000
I truly don’t love this card this week since I’m not picking any real underdogs with any confidence. Albini is the only guy who’d be regarded as an underdog that I do believe will win and that I did pick him put 1u on him as my free bet of the week. On DraftKings we’re getting him for $200 less than Greene but I would not be surprised if Albini was the favored on the gambling line going into the fights. With these men being Heavyweights, it doesn’t take much to get a knockout and if Albini can do that at $8k he can give me a run at the optimal lineup.
Fade of the week — Emily Whitmire $8,500
I faded Whitmire in her preceding fight also and she burnt me scoring a 1st round entry. I am going back to the fade here though and hoping the same doesn’t occur. On a card where I am choosing basically every favorite, I’d rather pick the fighters with 1st round knockout upside over Whitmire in her 8.5k price tag. I am not certain that going into the floor is at her very best interest in this struggle and if she stays standing I do not see her paying off worth in a triumph. If I was making 150 lineups this week then I would be taking some shots on Whitmire, however that I will likely only make ~20 and she will not make my participant pool with this many lineups.
Thanks for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you Want my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my complete DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, you can find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link too. I’m 83-52 to get +251.89un (+$25,421) because May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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