BIG MARLEY’S UFC 235 DRAFTKINGS BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a PPV card in Vegas. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to win a great deal of money from this week and that I can’t wait to chase these big prizes. The main GPP is a $15 buy-in and $50k goes to 1st place with a total of $250k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier only tournament for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will be spread out between all 100 entries that match. I won my very first chair into it last week and will attempt to get my 2nd and 3rd chairs this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers therefore be cautious chasing those overly hard. I’ll probably stick to the very best GPP this week and toss 100 or so entries at that $50k prize, then I will likely have a few shots in the Qualifier. I’ll also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let us get into a few plays I like this week along with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Jon Jones — $9,600
Jones is a lock for my money game lineup this week at his -800 betting line. I will take that free square and proceed. He should dominate this fight and he can complete it on the toes or the floor. I expect him to score over 100-points and I am perfectly fine with paying $9.6k for that. When I’m making lineups, I want to try and get at least 10x from each fighter. With Jones being 9.6k, I want at least 96 points from him. That’s how I look at it. If this was a 3-round battle and I did not think Jones would find a finish then maybe he just scores 80-85 DK points in a win, and at $9.6k I wouldn’t want that. Nonetheless, this is a potential 5-round fight, and that I really do expect Jones to dominate, so that price tag is fine with me. For GPPs, I believe that you can get away from Jon Jones since he will be very highly possessed. If he is 50% owned by the field and he only scores 85-90 DK points, then will kill off half the area since that would not be sufficient points to place him on that $50k lineup.
GPP drama of this week — Ben Askren — $9,000
If Ben Askren wins this battle it will be from his wrestling. He is one of the best wrestlers in MMA history and now he is finally getting a chance from the UFC after controlling every business he has been in. He won’t wish to strike for long against Robbie Lawler, so that I expect him to take takedowns right away and chain wrestle until he gets them. When he receives top control there is not likely to become a lot Robbie can perform on the floor and he should take a beating as long as it’s on the mat. On DraftKings, every takedown is 5 points compared to 0.5 points to get a substantial strike. A guy like Askren can go out there and receive 10 takedowns in 15-minutes and that is what makes him a great play if he can think of the victory.
Drama of this week — Diego Sanchez — $7,100
This really isn’t the Diego Sanchez of older, but I think he has what it takes to conquer Mickey Gall. On the toes, the quantity from Sanchez should acquire it for him there so long as he doesn’t get pumped out. The chin of Diego is exactly what I worry about most nowadays, but Gall isn’t much of a striker and I don’t see him becoming knockout. I also don’t understand that Gall can get takedowns, and I think Sanchez are the likely guy to be on top if the struggle hits the ground. A entry is Gall’s best chance at a win and Sanchez has never been filed. We have to have underdogs in our DK lineups and also at $7.1k Diego enables us to pay up for all those guys like Jon Jones or Ben Askren. If he can grind a decision triumph here I presume he can become 10x that wages and when we can get a win from him in the cheap salary, I think we will be in line for this $50k win when we hit our additional five spots.
Fade of the week — Anthony Smith ($6,600)
I might wind up using every fighter because I am making so many lineups this week, however Anthony Smith is the man I want the very least of. I attempt to get a favored for you guys as my fade of the week but I do not believe there are any need to fade favorites this week. Rather, I’m going with the 1 fighter I don’t think stands a opportunity. I think a fluke KO is the only path to victory for Smith and he really doesn’t possess the 1 punch/kick power it might take to pull that off. I would be amazed if Smith pulled off the upset this week and if I was making 20 or less lineups, he’d be an easy fade.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and provide my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I’m 58-37 for +177.62un (+$17,762) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

Read more: sportscoverage.net/sportingbet/

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