On Monday, we introduced a poll showing that Jody Wilson-Raybould was currently aggressive as an Independent candidate in the district of Vancouver Granville. Today, we have a look at fellow Independent Jane Philpott’s district of Markham-Stouffville, a suburb of Toronto situated in the vital GTA region of Ontario.
In 2015, Philpott won the recently established district of Markham-Stouffville by six points over her Conservative opponent at a definite two-way race between the Liberals and Conservatives (the Greens and NDP won a combined eight percent of the vote). It would therefore be natural to put in the hypothesis that, with Philpott running as an Independent next collapse, a split Liberal-Philpott vote could open up the chance for a rather easy Conservative win.
However a new exclusive survey commissioned by 338Canada and conducted by Mainstreet Research. Com indicates the race in Markham-Stouffville could be much closer than first thought. Additionally, it shows Philpott facing long odds to win re-election, sitting well back of their front-running Liberals and second-place Conservatives.
The poll collected intentions of 601 voters in Markham-Stouffville and was conducted between May 29 and May 30. This really is a sample with a margin of error of ??4 percent, 19 times out of 20. The complete report of the poll is available here.
To the question: »When the federal election were held today, which party would you vote for? » Respondents were given the following options:
Liberal, headed by Justin Trudeau Conservative, led by Andrew Scheer NDP, headed by Jagmeet Singh Green Independent candidate Jane Philpott

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