The first point to notice about this unique race is that the majority of the previous winners have shown a mix of pace for stamina and a mile for 1m2f and past. Though not set in stone, having previously won or run within the course can be a benefit, as the likes of Bronze Angel, Credit Swap, Prince Of Johanne, Spark Plug and Dolphin Vista have all proved that this decade. A fantastic mix of ages have triumphed recently although it’s worth pointing out that six-year-olds and below have mastered the use of honour since 1992 (Rambo’s Hall) so that counts from likely top-weight Raising Sands, who also falls short of the perfect weight taking brink of 9st 5lb.
Looking at all of the trends, it’s no surprise that punters have latched onto the likes of Lord North Le Don De Vie and great Birthday, all being improving three-year-olds at the end of the handicap. The former has not obtained any class shape to call upon, however he has three clear wins next to his name along with a performance over 1m4f at Goodwood supporting St Leger runner-up, Sir Ron Priestley, to hang his hat on. Likewise the latter has been plying the majority of his commerce from hard-knocking, hugely competitive and big-field handicaps that are three-year-old and he probably makes the allure of these from the traditional generation. A cracking third at the London Gold Cup earlier the season from a bad draw (race exercised quite well subsequently), Andrew Balding’s gelding made a similar effort at Newmarket in July before heading on to obtain his just wages for his endeavours at Beverley last time out. Having got form under an assortment of conditions, the rainfall that was predicted would least inconveniences Good Birthday during the week than most and it’s simple to fashion a case out.
Another three-year-old that has been operating well in the large heritage handicaps is MAJESTIC DAWN (best cost 33-1) and he appears to have completely overlooked by the majority of bookmakers and punters alike. Although finishing behind Good Birthday in that above London Gold Cup at Newbury back in May, Paul Cole’s inmate has obtained his revenge twice on his old rival, initially at Newmarket if he somehow managed to finish third whilst working with the choke out for majority of their journey and secondly at the King George Handicap at Royal Ascot. Looking back at his performance at the Berkshire course, nothing travelled better than the son of Dawn Approach until his endurance just gave way inside the final furlong, but if you think about the strength of the race with the likes of Sir Ron Priestley, Sinjaari, Summer Moon, Fox Premier and decent Birthday all nicely beaten in behind, it’s easy to overlook how well he conducted daily. Kept new for a tilt at this decoration since, unfortunately — as is often the case with three-year-olds in races of the nature today — he needs 11 to drop out before getting a jog at time of writing (number 46 on the card and a maximum area of 35), however together using all the softening of the earth likely to put several off and lots of yards/connections triple and double handed sometimes, there is half a possibility he would just scrape down the foot of these weights. Even if he gets balloted outside, punters will find a refund under ante-post principles but when he does run, there is simply no way this lightly-raced and enhancing chestnut should be a 33-1 shot according to all known evidence and hailing from a steady in decent shape at present.
It is not always about the alluring younger horses most hard-knocking, grizzled handicappers who understand the ropes have obliged in the last two decades, as history has ordered. Of the ones that have cut their teeth in these races lately, JAZEEL (best cost 20-1) gets the maximum appeal and he’s also worth backing in his existing odds of 20-1.
Ticking the program form box being the Silver Cambridgeshire last season’s winner, Jedd O’Keeffe’s gelding has run consistently well in this campaign, with the exclusion of his two efforts at York. Other than that, his four performances are of the order, although the nature of the Knavesmire monitor doesn’t suit the son of Roderic O’Connor for a reason. Runner-up over the C&D on his return to activity back in May, the four-year-old showed plenty of grit and determination to fend off Beringer in Sandown two months later and if it wasn’t for its late swoop of useful Fayez in Goodwood, he would have added to his winning tally. Although unsuited by how the race panned out at York when last seen, at least he did end off his race with sufficient gusto to indicate he stays in good heart and with all the time figure extremely nice and the likes of Caradoc, Gibbs Hill, Epaulement, Persian Moon, along with Eynehallow all tipping their hats into the standard of this form since, Jazeel definitely has outstanding credentials along with a great deal of characteristics typically associated with previous winners of this prize.
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